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Prediction by the Numbers

Author: Infobase,; PBS (Firm)
Publisher: [Place of publication not identified] : PBS, New York, N.Y. : Distributed by Infobase, [2018] 2019. ©2018
Edition/Format:   eVideo : Clipart/images/graphics : EnglishView all editions and formats
Summary:
Predictions underlie nearly every aspect of our lives, from sports, politics, and medical decisions to the morning commute. With the explosion of digital technology, the internet, and “big data,” the science of forecasting is flourishing. But why do some predictions succeed spectacularly while others fail abysmally? And how can we find meaningful patterns amidst chaos and uncertainty? From the glitz of casinos and  Read more...
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Details

Genre/Form: Internet videos
Material Type: Clipart/images/graphics, Internet resource, Videorecording
Document Type: Internet Resource, Computer File, Visual material
All Authors / Contributors: Infobase,; PBS (Firm)
OCLC Number: 1083891717
Language Note: Closed-captioned.
Notes: Originally released by PBS, 2018.
Streaming video file encoded with permission for digital streaming by Infobase on January 29, 2019.
Target Audience: 9 - 12, Academic/AP
Description: 1 online resource (1 video file (52 min., 56 sec)) : sound, color.
Contents: Power of Prediction (5:03); History of Predictions (2:15); Chance and Percentage (4:09); History of Probability Theory (3:10); Weather Prediction (6:34); Making Accurate Predictions (6:11); 2016 Presidential Election (4:29); Possible Polling Errors (5:08); Baseball Statistics (3:12); Search and Rescue (6:28); Artificial Intelligence (5:19); Credits; Prediction by the Number (0:46);
Responsibility: PBS.

Abstract:

Predictions underlie nearly every aspect of our lives, from sports, politics, and medical decisions to the morning commute. With the explosion of digital technology, the internet, and “big data,” the science of forecasting is flourishing. But why do some predictions succeed spectacularly while others fail abysmally? And how can we find meaningful patterns amidst chaos and uncertainty? From the glitz of casinos and TV game shows to the life-and-death stakes of storm forecasts and the flaws of opinion polls that can swing an election, Prediction by the Numbers explores stories of statistics in action. Yet advances in machine learning and big data models that increasingly rule our lives are also posing big, disturbing questions. How much should we trust predictions made by algorithms when we don’t understand how they arrive at them? And how far ahead can we really forecast?

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