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Quantifying risks in complex, nonlinear and uncertain systems

Author: Louis A Cox
Publisher: New York ; London : Springer-Verlag New York Inc., 2009.
Series: International series in operations research & management science, 129
Edition/Format:   eBook : Document : English
Summary:

Acknowledged risk authority Tony Cox shows all risk practitioners how Quantitative Risk Assessment (QRA) can improve risk management decisions and policies. It illustrates QRA methods for complex and  Read more...

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Genre/Form: Electronic books
Material Type: Document, Internet resource
Document Type: Internet Resource, Computer File
All Authors / Contributors: Louis A Cox
ISBN: 9780387890135 0387890130
OCLC Number: 490163465
Notes: Title from e-book title screen (viewed Nov. 30, 2009).
Description: 1 online resource (464 pages) : illustrations.
Contents: 1 INTRODUCTION TO RISK ANALYSIS.- Quantitative Risk Assessment Goals and Challenges.- to Engineering Risk Analysis.- to Health Risk Analysis.- 2 AVOIDING BAD RISK ANALYSIS.- Limitations of Risk Assessment Using Risk Matrices.- Limitations of Quantitative Risk Assessment Using Aggregate Exposure and Risk Models.- 3 PRINCIPLES FOR DOING BETTER.- Identifying Nonlinear Causal Relations in Large Data Sets.- Overcoming Preconceptions and Confirmation Biases Using Data Mining.- Estimating the Fraction of Disease Caused by One Component of a Complex Mixture: Bounds for Lung Cancer.- Bounding Resistance Risks for Penicillin.- Confronting Uncertain Causal Mechanisms - Portfolios of Possibilities.- Determining What Can Be Predicted: Identifiability.- 4 APPLICATIONS AND EXTENSIONS.- Predicting the Effects of Changes: Could Removing Arsenic from Tobacco Smoke Significantly Reduce Smoker Risks of Lung Cancer?.- Simplifying Complex Dynamic Networks: A Model of Protease Imbalance and COPD Dynamic Dose-Response.- Value of Information (VOI) in Risk Management Policies for Tracking and Testing Imported Cattle for BSE.- Improving Antiterrorism Risk Analysis.- Designing Resilient Telecommunications Networks.
Series Title: International series in operations research & management science, 129
Responsibility: by Louis Anthony Cox, Jr.

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From the reviews:"The new results of this book include many real life applications especially in health management. ... More applications to the specialists are given throughout the book. The book is Read more...

 
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