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Risk assessment and decision analysis with Bayesian networks

Author: Norman E Fenton; Martin Neil
Publisher: Boca Raton, FL : CRC Press, Taylor & Francis Group, [2019]
Edition/Format:   Print book : English : Second editionView all editions and formats

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Document Type: Book
All Authors / Contributors: Norman E Fenton; Martin Neil
ISBN: 9781138035119 1138035114
OCLC Number: 1031043793
Description: xxi, 637 pages ; 26 cm
Contents: There Is More to Assessing Risk Than Statistics. The Need for Causal, Explanatory Models in Risk Assessment. Measuring Uncertainty: The Inevitability of Subjectivity. The Basics of Probability. Bayes' Theorem and Conditional Probability. From Bayes' Theorem to Bayesian Networks. Defining the Structure of Bayesian Networks. Building and Eliciting Node Probability Tables. Numeric Variables and Continuous Distribution Functions. Hypothesis Testing and Confidence Intervals. Modeling Operational Risk. Systems Reliability Modeling. Bayes and the Law. Learning Bayesian Networks. Decision making, Influence Diagrams and Value of information. Bayesian networks in forensics.Using Bayesian networks to debunk bad statistics. Bayesian networks for football prediction. Appendix A: The Basics of Counting. Appendix B: The Algebra of Node Probability Tables. Appendix C: Junction Tree Algorithm. Appendix D: Dynamic Discretization. Appendix E: Statistical Distributions.
Responsibility: Norman Fenton, Martin Neil.


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Praise for the first edition:"By offering many attractive examples of Bayesian networks and by making use of software that allows one to play with the networks, readers will definitely get a feel for Read more...

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