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Scenario Thinking : Preparing Your Organization for the Future in an Unpredictable World.

Author: George Cairns; George Wright
Publisher: Cham : Springer International Publishing, 2017.
Edition/Format:   eBook : Document : English : 2nd edView all editions and formats
Summary:

Develops scenario planning methods in ways that link scenario analysis to improved decision making, engage time-poor senior decision makers, attenuate decision makers' tendency to deflect  Read more...

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Genre/Form: Electronic books
Additional Physical Format: Print version:
Cairns, George.
Scenario Thinking : Preparing Your Organization for the Future in an Unpredictable World.
Cham : Springer International Publishing, ©2017
Material Type: Document, Internet resource
Document Type: Internet Resource, Computer File
All Authors / Contributors: George Cairns; George Wright
ISBN: 9783319490670 3319490672
OCLC Number: 1007929180
Notes: "" Addressing the Subtleties of Stakeholder Subgroups""
Description: 1 online resource (287 pages)
Contents: Acknowledgements --
Contents --
List of Figures --
List of Tables --
Introduction --
How This Book Is Organized --
Key Innovations --
Overview of Content and Approach --
Chapter 1: Why Should the Individual and the Organization Practice Scenario Thinking? --
Chapter 2: Working with Scenarios: Introducing the Basic Method --
Chapter 3: Incorporating Stakeholders into Scenarios --
Chapter 4: Building on the Basic Method: Power, Ethics, and Critical Scenario Method --
Chapter 5: Scenarios and Decision Analysis Chapter 6: The Backwards Logic Method of Constructing Extreme Scenarios and Considering Local Agency in Branching Scenarios Chapter 7: Advanced Methods in Scenario Development: Uncovering Causality and Using the Delphi Method --
Chapter 8: Creating Robust Strategies and Robust Organizations --
Chapter 9: Diagnosing Organizational Receptiveness --
Chapter 10: Documenting Lessons Learned from Case Study Projects --
Chapter 11: Evaluating the Effectiveness of Scenario Interventions Within Organizations --
Reading Our Text 1: Why Should the Individual and Organization Practice Scenario Thinking? Business-As-Usual Thinking in a Changing World --
Lessons from Historyâ#x80;#x94;Building Agility for the Future --
Constrained Thinking and the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) --
Overcoming Societal Constraints on Challenge to See the Usefulness of Scenario Thinking --
What Are Scenario Thinking and Scenario Method? --
Our Approach --
Organization of the Text --
What Are the Business Credentials of Scenario Method? --
Critiques of Scenario Planning and a Defence --
Summary Stage 2: Determining the â#x80;#x98;Driving Forcesâ#x80;#x99;â#x80;#x94;Working Individually Then as a Group Stage 3: Clustering the Driving Forces --
Stage 4: Defining the Cluster Outcomes --
Stage 5: Impact/Uncertainty Matrix --
Stage 6: Framing the Scenarios --
Stage 7: Scoping the Scenarios --
Stage 8: Developing the Scenarios --
Beyond Scenario Development: Strategic Decision Making --
Building on the Basic Method: Augmented Approaches --
Summary --
References --
3: Incorporating Stakeholders into Scenarios --
Identifying the Broad Stakeholder Constituency

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