The signal and the noise : why so many predictions fail-- but some don't (eBook, 2012) [WorldCat.org]
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The signal and the noise : why so many predictions fail-- but some don't

Author: Nate Silver
Publisher: New York : Penguin Press, 2012.
Edition/Format:   eBook : Document : EnglishView all editions and formats
Summary:
Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction.
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Genre/Form: Electronic books
Nonfiction
History
Additional Physical Format: Print version:
Silver, Nate, 1978-
Signal and the noise.
New York : Penguin Press, 2012
(DLC) 2012027308
(OCoLC)780480483
Material Type: Document, Internet resource
Document Type: Internet Resource, Computer File
All Authors / Contributors: Nate Silver
ISBN: 9781101595954 1101595957
OCLC Number: 820003931
Description: 1 online resource (545 pages) : illustrations
Contents: A Catastrophic failure of prediction --
Are you smarter than a television pundit? --
All I care about is W's and L's --
For years you've been telling us that rain is green --
Desperately seeking signal --
How to drown in three feet of water --
Role models --
Less and less and less wrong --
Rage against the machines --
The poker bubble --
If you can't beat 'em ... --
A climate of healthy skepticism --
What you don't know can hurt you.
Responsibility: Nate Silver.

Abstract:

Reveals how we can all develop better foresight in an uncertain world. From the stock market to the poker table, from earthquakes to the economy, the author takes us on an enthralling insider's tour  Read more...

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Outstanding... I was hooked -- Tim Harford * Financial Times * One of the more momentous books of the decade * The New York Times Book Review * A lucid explanation of how to think probabilistically * Read more...

 
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