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Teaching about the future

Author: Peter C Bishop; Andy Hines
Publisher: Basingstoke ; New York : Palgrave Macmillan, [2012]
Edition/Format:   Print book : EnglishView all editions and formats
Summary:
"The faculty at the University of Houston's program in Futures Studies share their comprehensive, integrated approach to preparing foresight professionals and assisting others doing foresight projects. Provides an essential guide to developing classes on the future or even establishing whole degree programs."--Publisher's description.
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Material Type: Internet resource
Document Type: Book, Internet Resource
All Authors / Contributors: Peter C Bishop; Andy Hines
ISBN: 9780230363496 0230363490
OCLC Number: 782988605
Description: xix, 304 pages : illustrations ; 23 cm
Contents: Machine generated contents note: Introducing the Future --
Why teach the future? --
problem of prediction --
future(s) --
Be prepared --
Imagine the future --
Create the future --
Tricks of Foresight --
Telling stories --
Pursuing visions --
benefits of foresight --
Structure of the Book --
pt. I Understanding --
1. Models of Change --
Introduction --
Understanding Change --
What is change? --
How much change is there? --
four dimensions of change --
model of change: Punctuated equilibrium --
Alternative Futures --
"What can we know about the future?" --
(Not) predicting the future --
Certainty --
Assumptions --
Types of futures: The cone of plausibility --
Futures Methods --
Some definitions around methods --
Thinking about the Future framework --
Conclusion --
Resources --
2. Systems Thinking --
Introduction --
History --
Generalization --
System behaviors --
Approach --
Cybernetic systems --
Complex adaptive systems --
Conclusion --
Resources --
3. Perspectives on the Future --
Introduction --
History --
Empirical and cultural --
Critical --
Integral --
Generalization --
Approach --
Causal Layered Analysis --
Integral Futures --
Conclusion --
Resources --
4. Social Change --
Introduction --
History --
Generalization --
Explaining social change --
Critical assumptions --
Approach --
Conclusion --
Resources --
pt. II Mapping --
5. Research --
Introduction --
History --
Generalization --
Choosing a domain --
Primary research --
Secondary research --
Approach --
Research supports framework forecasting --
Conclusion --
Resources --
6. Scanning --
Introduction --
History --
Generalization --
Why scanning is difficult --
Approach --
Identify scanning hits --
Operate at different levels of the domain --
Keep an eye on wildcards --
Keep track of your hits --
Distinguish types of scanning hits --
Establish criteria for evaluating scanning hits --
Conclusion --
Resources --
7. Forecasting --
Introduction --
History --
Generalization --
Forecasting theory --
Approach: Framework Forecasting --
2. Summary --
4. Era analysis --
5. Baseline forecasting --
Critical thinking --
6. Baseline analysis --
Creativity --
7. Alternative futures forecasting --
8. Scenario kernels --
Conclusion --
Resources --
pt. III Influencing --
8. Leadership --
Introduction --
History --
Era 1 Traits --
Era 2 Situation --
Era 3 Effectiveness --
Era 4 Contingency --
Era 5 Shared leadership --
Era 6 Managers and Leaders --
Generalization --
Leadership distinctions --
Approach --
Leading people into new territory --
Exploring boundaries of the possible --
Committing to goals they do not know how to achieve --
Building bridges when they know only one side of the river --
Motivating people to do what they don't want to do --
Conclusion --
Resources --
9. Visioning --
Introduction --
History --
Generalization --
Attributes of a vision --
Vision statements --
Approach --
Values --
Background --
Conclusion --
Resources --
10. Planning --
Introduction --
History --
Generalization --
Approach --
1. Planning to plan --
2. Understanding the future --
3. Setting the direction --
4. Developing the plan --
Conclusion --
Resources --
11. Change Management --
Introduction --
History --
Generalization --
Approach --
1. Have a good reason --
2. Be honest about the process --
3. Articulate a vision --
4. Commit to achieve the vision --
5. Communicate! --
6. Generate trust --
Conclusion --
Resources --
Appendices --
Appendix 1 Framework forecasting specification --
Appendix 2 World Futures --
Appendix 3 Scanning form and explanation --
Appendix 4 Strategic Planning and Change Managemant.
Responsibility: by Peter C. Bishop, University of Houston, USA and Andy Hines, University of Houston, USA.

Abstract:

The faculty at the University of Houston's program in Futures Studies share their comprehensive, integrated approach to preparing foresight professionals and assisting others doing foresight  Read more...

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