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War and chance : Assessing uncertainty in international politics

Author: Jeffrey A Friedman
Publisher: New York, NY : Oxford University Press, 2019
Series: Bridging the gap series
Edition/Format:   Print book : EnglishView all editions and formats

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Document Type: Book
All Authors / Contributors: Jeffrey A Friedman
ISBN: 9780190938024 0190938021
OCLC Number: 1135471126
Awards: Winner of Winner of the Peter Katzenstein Book Award.
Description: x, 228 p.
Contents: Introduction : "One of the things you learn as president is that you're always dealing with probabilities" --
Pathologies of probability assessment --
Subjective probability and international politics --
The value of precision in probability assessment --
Dispelling illusions of rigor --
The politics of uncertainty and blame --
Analysis and decision --
Practical implications and directions for further research Including Appendix: Supporting Information for Chapters 3-5 and Index
Series Title: Bridging the gap series


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Friedman makes an extraordinarily fine contribution to international relations theory and, more importantly, to rational choice theory. He analyzes with meticulous precision and a wealth of Read more...

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